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☆ India's high unemployment is a 'ticking bomb,' opposition says as election battle with Modi's BJP heats up
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Vinay Dwivedi | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

India's unorganized sector, which is made up of millions of small businesses that are privately owned, make up about 93% of the country's total workforce. As many as 32% of the respondents said increasing unemployment was the key reason why they would not elect the BJP again. India's Labour Ministry did not immediately respond to CNBC's queries pertaining to the country's unemployment situation. Rajan, who was speaking about how to make India an advanced economy at the George Washington University, said: "Unemployment numbers are high, disguised unemployment is even higher. A slowdown in hiring in India's huge information technology sector is also to blame for the lack of well-paying, white-collar jobs.

Persons: Rahul Gandhi, Narendra Modi, Modi, Gandhi, —, Manmohan Singh, Arun Kumar, Lokniti, joblessness, Kumar, Raghuram Rajan, Rajan Organizations: DELHI, International Labour Organisation, Institute of Human, Goods, Services Tax, Jawahar Lal Nehru, CNBC, ILO, Bharatiya Janata Party, Indian National Congress, BJP, Modi, India's Labour Ministry, Former Reserve Bank of India, George Washington University, Labor Locations: India, Bihar, New Delhi

☆ As India heads to the polls, the pros name 8 top stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"The stars have aligned for India in terms of demographics, population and market movements. Peeyush Mittal, portfolio manager at Matthews Asia, agrees with the consensus that Modi will win a majority once again — which would be a "non-event" for markets. Conrad Saldanha, portfolio manager at the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Fund, agrees. Among the companies on his watch are power equipment player Bharat Heavy Electricals and engineering conglomerate Thermax , amid an expected expansion in power generation capacity. According to FactSet data, 24 of the 26 analysts covering the stock have a buy or overweight rating on it.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Neil Bahal, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, Mittal, Conrad Saldanha, Neuberger Berman, Bharat, Neuberger Berman's Saldanha, Saldanha Organizations: South, Bombay Stock Exchange, CNBC Pro, —, Matthews Asia, Reserve Bank of, India Fund, Neuberger, Markets Equity Fund, Cummins India, Investor, Bharat Electronics, ICICI, HDFC, IndusInd Bank, Apollo Locations: Hong Kong, India, Reserve Bank of India, Saldanha

☆ Asia markets largely set to fall on fears the Fed could hold off interest rate cuts; oil soars
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets were largely set to fall on Friday, mirroring moves on Wall Street after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials fueled worries that the central bank could hold off on rate cuts. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari cast doubts on Thursday over the central bank cutting rates at all if inflation remained sticky. Oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude surpassing $86 a barrel to test six-month highs. Brent crude prices also set a new six-month high of $90.65. S&P will also release its business activity numbers for Hong Kong, while the Reserve Bank of India will announce its rate decision later in the day.

Persons: Neel Kashkari Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, Brent, Reuters, Reserve Bank of India Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Hong Kong

☆ How India is challenging China as Asia's tech powerhouse
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +30 min

New Delhi has sought to woo foreign tech companies and has been increasingly successful, with giants like Apple increasing their presence in the country. Tom Chitty: For years China has been Asia's tech powerhouse where the world's electronics and some of the biggest companies on the planet are located. And I think India is in the very early stages, to put it quite bluntly, of trying to do that. Tom Chitty: India have got an election this year as well, which is going to be interesting to see what happens there. You know, India has aligned itself slightly more to the countries that are currently a bit more anti-China, shall we say?

Persons: Tom Chitty, Arjun Kharpal, It's, Let's, I'm, Arjun, You'll, We're, we've, what's, gunning, Narendra Modi, it's, Tom, Modi, Trump, Apple, COVID, there's, Taiwan's, that's, Karen Tso, China's, Tim Cook, Raghuram Rajan, We've, feasibly, India's, let's, he's, you've, we'll, I've, We'll Organizations: Apple, CNBC, China, India's, Foxconn, Micron, Tata Electronics, Taiwan's Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Reserve Bank of India, CCP, Samsung, Bain, India, London Locations: China, Tencent, Asia, India, Delhi, Washington, Beijing, American, COVID, U.S, Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, Taiwan, South Korea, Bangalore, Goa, Kolkata, Mumbai, Europe, Silicon, New York, Germany

☆ BlackRock's Larry Fink says India's love for gold has done little for its economy and investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

India's fondness for gold has neither benefited its economy nor generated decent returns for investors, BlackRock Founder and Chairman Larry Fink said in his annual letter to shareholders of the world's largest asset manager. Nor has investing in gold helped the country's economy," Fink said. The country's central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, purchased 4.7 tons of gold in February, taking its gold reserves to an all-time high of 817 tons, according to data from World Gold Council. Kavita Chacko, research head of India at World Gold Council, however, said recent record highs in gold prices could hurt demand for the precious metal in India. Indians' love for gold aside, the country's stock markets have been one of the biggest gainers in the Asia-Pacific region with major institutional investors positive on Indian stocks that have hit record highs multiple times this year.

Persons: Larry Fink, " Fink, Fink, Kavita Chacko, Chacko, — CNBC's Lee Ying Shan Organizations: BlackRock, Reserve Bank of India, World Gold, World Gold Council Locations: India, American, Asia, Pacific

☆ India’s booming tech sector suffers a big blow as Byju’s and Paytm plunge into crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Sheila Chiang | In Sheilachiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A subsequent audit "revealed persistent non-compliances and continued material supervisory concerns in the bank," the central bank said on Jan. 31. Yet to be profitable, Paytm is also reportedly being probed by the federal anti-fraud agency on possible violations of foreign exchange laws. On Feb. 26, One97 Communications, the parent company of Paytm, said in an exchange filing that founder and CEO Vijay Shekhar Sharma had resigned from the board of Paytm Payments Bank. During the pandemic, Paytm capitalized on the digital payments boom in India, reporting a 3.5 times growth in transactions. SoftBank and Ant Group are now reportedly cutting their stakes in the payments company, according to local media.

Persons: Anindito Mukerjee, There's, Karan Mohla, Paytm, Vijay Shekhar Sharma, SoftBank Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, B Capital, Reserve Bank of India, One97 Communications, Paytm Payments, Alibaba, Ant, Ant Group Locations: Greater Noida, India

☆ The Fed is set to cut rates this year. Here are the Asian currencies that stand to benefit
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-19 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Brent Lewin | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates later this year and, while that may not be good news for the dollar , some Asian currencies stand to benefit. Higher interest rates boost a country's currency, attracting foreign investment and increasing demand for the country's currency. A weak U.S. dollar is generally positive for emerging markets, which is often the case when the Fed cuts interest rates outside of an economic crisis. Experts told CNBC currencies such as the Chinese yuan , the Korean won and the Indian rupee stand to benefit from the Fed loosening monetary policy. So those are also positive for the Indian currency," said Anindya Banerjee, vice president of currency and derivatives research at Kotak Securities.

Persons: Mahatma Gandhi, Brent Lewin, Yuan, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Simon Harvey , , Anindya Banerjee, Banerjee, South Korea's, Monex's Harvey Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, CNBC, Korean, Bel Air Investment Advisors, People's Bank of, FX, U.S, Kotak Securities, Bank of, Korea's, South Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, China, People's Bank of China, U.S, Bank of India, India, Europe, America

☆ Asia markets largely set to rise ahead ahead of China's inflation numbers and India's rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

A butcher (L) shows a piece of pork to a customer at a market in Beijing on July 10, 2019. NICOLAS ASFOURI | AFP | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set to rise as investors look toward China's inflation figures for and the Reserve Bank of India's rate decision. China's consumer price index for January is expected to fall 0.5% year-on-year, while the Reserve Bank of India is forecast to hold rates at 6.5%. Japan's Nikkei 225 is also set to rise, with the futures contract in Chicago at 36,375 and its counterpart in Osaka at 36,280 against the index's last close of 36,119.92. However, futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,024, pointing to a weaker open compared with the HSI's last close of 16,081.89.

Persons: NICOLAS ASFOURI Organizations: AFP, Getty, Reserve Bank, Reserve Bank of, Nikkei Locations: Beijing, Asia, Pacific, Reserve Bank of India, Australia, Chicago, Osaka

A man exercises in a gym near a barcode for Paytm, an Indian cellphone-based digital payment platform, in New Delhi on November 18, 2021. The Indian Finance Ministry, the RBI and Paytm did not immediately respond to CNBC's requests for comment. A Paytm spokesperson has denied any violation of foreign exchange laws, calling them "unfounded and factually incorrect," according to Reuters. The shares saw a massive three-day sell-off following the RBI's order last week which wiped out more than $2.5 billion in value, before a subsequent bounce. Earlier in the week, Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani's Jio Financial Services denied media reports it was buying Paytm's wallet business.

Persons: Paytm, It's, Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Nirmala Sitharaman, Sharma, Mukesh Ambani's Organizations: Reserve Bank of, CNBC, Reuters, Indian Finance Ministry, One97 Communications, India's National Stock Exchange, Financial Services Locations: New Delhi, Reserve Bank of India

☆ India's Paytm shares pop 8% after Ambani's Jio Financial denies deal talks for wallet business
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A restaurant advertises the use of the Paytm digital payment system in Mumbai, India, on Saturday, July 17, 2021. It comes after Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani's Jio Financial Services denied media reports it was buying Paytm's wallet business. Hindustan Times reported Monday that Jio Financial, owned by Ambani's conglomerate Reliance, would acquire Paytm's wallet business. The report sent shares of Jio Financial up as much as 16.5% on an intraday basis yesterday. Jio Financial issued a statement to the exchange late Monday to confirm it was not in talks to buy Paytm's digital wallet business.

Persons: Mukesh Ambani's, Paytm Organizations: Financial Services, Communications, India's National Stock Exchange, Reserve Bank of India, Paytm Payments Bank, Hindustan Times, Jio Locations: Mumbai, India

☆ Asia markets poised for mixed open as they kickstart holiday-shortened week; central bank decisions in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Jade Gao | Afp | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific stocks were set for a mixed open as they kickstart a holiday-shortened trading week for some markets. Investors will watch out for key central bank decisions this week, especially from the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday and the Reserve Bank of India on Thursday. On Monday, private surveys on service sector activity will be released from China and Hong Kong. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index is also set to fall, with futures at 15,412 compared to the HSI's close of 15,533.56. China, Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore, and Hong Kong will all see shortened trading weeks as the Lunar New Year approaches.

Persons: Jade Gao, Hong Organizations: Central Business District, Afp, Getty, Investors, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of India, Nikkei Locations: Beijing, Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, Taiwan, South Korea

☆ Paytm was once India’s hottest startup. Its shares have crashed 36% in two days
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Shares of the hugely popular digital payments company have crashed by the daily maximum allowed in Mumbai for two days in a row, even though India’s stock markets have been touching new all-time highs. It also landed in hot water with regulators — two years ago, the central bank barred its banking arm from signing up new customers. Paytm stock is now trading at just 487 rupees (around $6) a share. The latest plunge came after India’s central bank cracked down further on its business. Paytm launched its payments bank in 2017 as a joint venture with founder Vijay Shekhar Sharma.

Persons: New Delhi CNN — Paytm, Paytm, ”, Manish Chowdhury, Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Sharma, Narendra Modi, ” Sharma Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Paytm Payments Bank, Indian, CNN Locations: New Delhi, Mumbai, India

The hefty Davos promotions come after India surpassed China last year as the world's biggest country by population. Now India is touting its growing strength as a nation of innovation and as a global business hub in front of some of the world's richest and most powerful people. "As China's economy slows down, India's relatively rapid growth stands out as a clear opportunity for investors in Davos looking for bright spots." "We had an all-time revenue record in India," Apple CEO Tim Cook said on the company's latest earnings call in November, in response to an analyst's question about the company's momentum there. Hidary said Indian billionaire Mukesh Ambani's smartphone company Jio will serve about 600 million people in India through a $12 device.

Persons: There's, Ravi Agrawal, Agrawal, Narendra Modi, that's, Tim Cook, Apple Tim Cook, Punit Paranjpe, Jack Hidary, Hidary, Mukesh, Ambani Organizations: India Engagement, Wipro, Infosys, Tata, Foreign Policy, CNN, CNBC, World Bank, International Trade Administration, Visual, Bank of India, Dell, HP, Lenovo, Apple, AFP, Getty, India, AMD, Nvidia, Micron, WEF Locations: DAVOS, Switzerland, Davos, India, China, CNN India, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Karnataka, U.S, Mumbai, Bangalore, Gujarat

☆ Davos: A mountain of debt and a wave of elections. World leaders are hamstrung
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

London CNN —World leaders are flocking to Davos this week to pontificate on the planet’s most pressing problems. Even in the absence of a new crisis, soaring debt servicing costs will constrain efforts to tackle climate change and care for aging populations. Mortgage rates and other borrowing costs soared as investors demanded much higher premiums for owning UK debt. Mounting debt and political brinksmanship have already taken their toll on America’s credit rating, which typically affects borrowing costs for the government, businesses and households. And that would increase the government’s borrowing costs.

Persons: worryingly, Michael Saunders, ”, Saunders, that’s, Liz Truss, Dave Ramsden, Fitch, Moody’s, Raghuram Rajan, “ It’s, ” Rajan, Anna Cooban Organizations: London CNN —, Bank, CNN, Oxford Economics, Bank of England, AAA, States ’, Reserve Bank of India, Labour Party, Treasury Department, Federal, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Davos, Kingdom, Argentina, States, United States, Switzerland

☆ India's Nifty 50 hits all-time high after upbeat growth data
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Bharath Rajeswaran | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The NSE Nifty 50 index (.NSEI) rose as much as 0.52% to 20,238.45, a new record high, while the S&P BSE Sensex (.BSESN) was up 0.44% at 67,286.16, as of 9:35 a.m. IST. "India's growth outlook remains positive, with various capex initiatives of the government likely to trigger consumption at the bottom of the pyramid," Pramod Gubbi, founder of Marcellus Investment Management, said. India's Nifty and Sensex posted their best month in 2023 in November, aided by the return on foreign portfolio investor (FPI) inflows. India's general elections are due early next year. Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Mrigank DhaniwalaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Gubbi, India's, Sensex, Madhavi Arora, Bharath Rajeswaran, Sonia Cheema Organizations: National Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, NSE, BSE, Reuters, Reserve Bank, Marcellus Investment Management, Wall, Dow Jones, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Indian National Congress, Emkay Global Financial Services, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, U.S, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Bengaluru

☆ Central banks of India, England resolve trade settlement stand-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

[1/2] FILE PHOTO: A Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo is seen inside its headquarters in Mumbai, India, April 6, 2023. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas//o/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The central banks of India and England on Friday signed an agreement on information exchange for settlement of bond trades, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said. In India, bonds are settled through the Clearing Corporation of India (CCIL). The two central banks have also established a framework for the BoE to rely on the Indian central bank's regulatory and supervisory activities, while safeguarding the United Kingdom's financial stability, the RBI said. This meant that European banks had to settle their India-based trades through banks based in other jurisdictions.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, BoE, CCIL, Siddhi Nayak, Jayshree, Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Sohini Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of India, Clearing Corporation of India, Bank of England, United, European Securities and Markets Authority, Siddhi, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, England

☆ ‘A year of volatility’: Morgan Stanley names its top stocks as India prepares to head to the polls
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The investment case for India is hard to argue with, according to analysts at Morgan Stanley — but they warn that upcoming elections with "potential binary outcomes sets the market up for volatility." "Government policy remains supportive, and the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) executes a calibrated exit from its current hold stance. For Morgan Stanley, the downside, or bear case, to its forecast would see India's elections result in a change in government. Focus list of overweight-rated stocks Looking ahead to India in 2024, Morgan Stanley is overweight on companies in the financials, consumer discretionary, industrials and technology sectors. From the financial services sector, Morgan Stanley is overweight on ICICI Bank and insurer SBI Life Insurance .

Persons: Morgan Stanley —, Ridham Desai, Narendra Modi, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Maruti Suzuki, Hindustan Aeronautics, Infosys, ICICI Bank, SBI Life Insurance Locations: India, U.S, Government, F2026E

☆ India set to miss divestment targets by more than half this year - sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Nikunj Ohri | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The government may fall short of its divestment goal by 300 billion rupees ($3.60 billion) in 2023/24, two government sources told Reuters. New Delhi had targeted 510 billion rupees from divestment proceeds for the current fiscal year that ends March, 2024. So far this year, the government has received 80 billion rupees through stake sales, according to government data. The government expects to surpass its 430 billion rupees dividend target and has so far received 203 billion rupees from state-run firms. "As long as the government is meeting its fiscal targets and there isn't a shortfall, missing divestment targets is fine," said Rahul Bajoria, an economist at Barclays Investment Bank.

Persons: Niharika Kulkarni, Narendra Modi's, Subhash Chandra Garg, Rahul Bajoria, Nikunj Ohri, Sam Holmes Organizations: IDBI, REUTERS, Reuters, IDBI Bank, NMDC Steel, Reserve Bank of India, NMDC, Barclays Investment Bank, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, DELHI, New Delhi, Chhattisgarh

REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBENGALURU, Nov 16 (Reuters) - India's central bank on Thursday tightened norms for personal loans and credit cards, raising the risk of slowing loan growth. Reuters GraphicsRBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said last month the central bank was closely monitoring some fast-growing personal loan categories for signs of stress. Subsequently, Reuters reported that the RBI was particularly concerned with the surge in small personal loans and was considering tighter rules for such borrowings. Unsecured personal loans increased 23% from a year ago as of Sept. 22, 2023, while outstanding amounts on credit cards jumped nearly 30%, central bank data shows. "In particular, limits shall be prescribed for all unsecured consumer credit exposures," the central bank said.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Dhananjay Sinha, Shaktikanta Das, Transunion, Systematix, Sinha, Siddhi Nayak, Ira Dugal, Shinjini Ganguli, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of, NBFCs, Systematix Research, Reuters, Siddhi, Sethuraman NR, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Reserve Bank of India, Bengaluru

☆ Indian rupee falls to record low, next week crucial to gauge new range
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MUMBAI, Nov 10 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee dropped to a record low against the U.S. dollar on Friday, which alongside the outage of the interbank order matching system, prompted the central bank to step in. The rupee dropped to a record low of 83.42 to the dollar and was last at 83.3925. "On why the RBI today decided that (allow rupee to drop below 83.30), it's impossible to say," a forex trader at a bank said. Next week will be very important to see if a new range has been made." He, however, said that the range in the USD/INR has now shifted higher.

Persons: Alok Sharma, Arnob Biswas, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, Reserve Bank of India, SMC Global Securities, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, ICBC

☆ LSEG says FX system briefly impacted by technical glitch, it is investigating
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Swati Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas//o/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Financial technology and data provider LSEG said on Friday it had resolved a technical incident that affected its Indian foreign exchange trading platform earlier in the day and was investigating what had happened. Whether standard operating procedures were followed and a business continuity plan was put in place when the system went down". "They are keen to find out if the issue was due to a system failure or some human error," the source said. Six traders said there was a system outage for about 10 minutes on the spot dollar/rupee trading platform during which they had been unable to transact. LSEG said earlier on Friday that all indices compiled by FTSE Russell, which it also owns, were hit by a technical issue that prevented them being published for forty minutes.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, LSEG, Swati Bhat, Alun John, Jon Boyle, Catherine Evans Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Reserve Bank of India, FTSE Russell, London Stock Exchange Group, Thomson Reuters, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, LSEG, London

☆ India rupee to rally after data reaffirms Fed done with rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to rise at open on Monday after softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike interest rates further. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.08-83.12 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2850 in the previous session. Asian currencies extended last week's advance after the dollar index slumped on Friday following data that indicated that the U.S. labor market was cooling. "Last week’s Fed meeting and latest data flow suggest the rate hike cycle is most likely over. "It's to be fully expected that the rupee will underperform in times when the dollar is under stress," the forex trader said.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Reuters, Treasury, Fed, DBS Research, Korean, Malaysian, Reserve Bank of, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI

☆ Inflation to dog world economy next year, postponing rate cuts: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Despite broad success in bringing inflation down from its highs - the easier bit - prices are still rising faster than most central banks would prefer and hitting their inflation targets is likely to be tough. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which often leads the interest rate cycle, was also forecast to wait until July-September 2024 before cutting. The majority backing no cuts until the second half of 2024 has also grown stronger for the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank Indonesia and the Reserve Bank of India. Even the Bank of Japan, the outlier sticking to ultra-loose policy through this entire round of inflation, is now expected to abandon negative interest rates next year. Crucially, most economists agree the first easing steps will not be the beginning of a rapid series of cuts.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Christine Lagarde, Douglas Porter, it's, Nathan Sheets, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, BMO, Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank, Reserve Bank of India, Bank of Japan, Citi, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, BENGALURU, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank Indonesia, Bengaluru, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Istanbul, Johannesburg, London, Shanghai, Tokyo

☆ India's festival season to bring some cheer to economy, say economists
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Milounee Purohit | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Nearly 75% of economists, 25 of 33, said spending during this year's festival season, which lasts from October through December, will be higher compared to last year. Among those, 21 said slightly higher and four said significantly higher. "From a year-on-year growth rate perspective, it may not be a substantial upside so to speak." Economists generally agree India needs an even higher growth rate to generate enough jobs for millions of young people who enter the workforce every year. When asked what was India's potential economic growth rate over the next 2-3 years, economists returned a median range of 6.0%-7.0%.

Persons: Anushree, Dhiraj Nim, Alexandra Hermann, Milounee Purohit, Anant Chandak, Susobhan Sarkar, Veronica Khongwir, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Reserve Bank of, ANZ Research, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Delhi, India, Reserve Bank of India

Savings accounts are low interest rate-bearing deposits offered by Indian banks, forming a third of their total deposits. Public sector banks offer interest rates between 2.70% to 4% on savings deposits, while large private banks offer rates between 3% to 4.50%. Savings deposits rate of banks vs RBI's repo rateThe RBI has been nudging banks at meetings to raise savings deposit rates and may need to push them again if required, the same source said. The RBI said in its monetary policy report that while the increase in term deposit rates in the current tightening cycle has exceeded that in lending rates, savings deposit rates have remained almost unchanged. Yes Bank (YESB.NS), Kotak Mahindra Bank (KTKM.NS) and IndusInd Bank (INBK.NS) are among lenders that have recently said they have no plans to raise savings deposit rates.

Persons: Anushree, Siddhi Nayak, Swati Bhat, Nivedita Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Savings, Reuters, Yes Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, IndusInd Bank, Siddhi, Thomson Locations: New Delhi, India, Rights MUMBAI

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